Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.246755 0.285241 0.329065 0.382936 0.447749 0.523681 0.620055
2025-09-21 0.188064 0.237606 0.300488 0.387367 0.506213 0.665970 0.901975
2025-09-28 0.152921 0.205616 0.277876 0.386690 0.550877 0.797045 1.209629
2025-10-05 0.133185 0.188206 0.268523 0.398433 0.611576 0.963457 1.625658
2025-10-12 0.118094 0.173819 0.259491 0.406711 0.666465 1.133800 2.112833
2025-10-19 0.106229 0.161898 0.251398 0.413608 0.719122 1.314118 2.694770
2025-10-26 0.097708 0.153703 0.247497 0.426145 0.784177 1.537422 3.474814
2025-11-02 0.089294 0.144323 0.239816 0.429776 0.832132 1.740337 4.313868
2025-11-09 0.081746 0.135327 0.231280 0.429788 0.872137 1.938643 5.257010
2025-11-16 0.074850 0.126563 0.221804 0.425921 0.902371 2.123897 6.281554
2025-11-23 0.068531 0.118075 0.211629 0.418615 0.922678 2.291017 7.365881
2025-11-30 0.065028 0.114409 0.210301 0.430252 0.992618 2.624893 9.339277
2025-12-07 0.059851 0.107066 0.200824 0.422228 1.011314 2.819224 10.948125
2025-12-14 0.056283 0.102510 0.196564 0.425878 1.063641 3.148562 13.548896
2025-12-21 0.052709 0.097554 0.190809 0.424852 1.102782 3.453894 16.419292
2025-12-28 0.050579 0.095314 0.190653 0.437948 1.188675 3.979699 21.371206
2026-01-04 0.048351 0.092625 0.189131 0.447212 1.265973 4.519700 27.416844
2026-01-11 0.046211 0.089897 0.187165 0.454941 1.341281 5.101949 35.064930
2026-01-18 0.044623 0.088206 0.187414 0.469001 1.444220 5.887948 46.648871
2026-01-25 0.042584 0.085311 0.184405 0.473074 1.512620 6.556344 59.200726
2026-02-01 0.040497 0.082115 0.180277 0.473088 1.566152 7.191336 73.790225
2026-02-08 0.038364 0.078627 0.175028 0.468749 1.601490 7.755821 89.946132
2026-02-15 0.036223 0.074941 0.168881 0.460554 1.618749 8.230478 107.168081